Prediction of Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger Aliassime at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris 10-31-25

• How does Felix Auger Aliassime's recent second serve performance compare to Valentin Vacherot's? Felix has the edge, winning 48.68% of points compared to Valentin's 46.21%.
• In return games, Felix wins 45.40% of opponent's second serve points, slightly better than Valentin's 44.03%.
• Felix struggles more with first serve returns, gaining 20.72% compared to Valentin's more impressive 26.08%.
• Under pressure, Felix saves 58.64% of breakpoints, surpassing Valentin's 55.16%.
• In terms of match victories over the past year, Felix has won 67.65% of his matches, closely matched by Valentin's 66.18%.
• Felix excels on indoor hard courts with a 70% win rate but drops to 58% on hard surfaces, while Valentin thrives on hard courts with a 70% win rate but has struggled on grass.
• Felix competes mostly on the Main tour, capturing 74.36% of matches, while Valentin primarily participates in lower-tier Challenger and ITF events, winning 60.47% of the time.
• Felix faces higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 60.31, compared to Valentin's average opponent rank of 250.51.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Felix has the upper hand, winning 70% of such scenarios against Valentin's 61%.

Editorial Prediction (October 30, 2025, UTC):

With a slightly stronger second serve performance, Felix Auger Aliassime enters the match with a marginal edge over Valentin Vacherot. His ability to win a higher percentage of return games on his opponent's second serve further solidifies his advantage.

While Valentin showcases a better percentage on first serve returns, Felix's superior performance under pressure, saving breakpoints effectively, suggests greater resilience during critical moments.

Felix's experience on the Main tour against higher-ranked opponents positions him well to navigate tough competitions, unlike Valentin who is more accustomed to the Challenger/ITF circuit.

Felix's track record in deciding sets enhances his prospects, signaling a strong likelihood of maintaining composure under tense conditions.

Considering these factors, Felix Auger Aliassime is anticipated to emerge victorious in this matchup against Valentin Vacherot.